Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thiago Tavares threatens submissions; Pat Audinwood has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Thiago Tavares has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Thiago Tavares has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Pat Audinwood has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Tavares
oldest →W
SUBvs Justin Salas · Nov 13W
SUBvs Robert Peralta · Aug 14L
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jun 15W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Nov 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 16 Pat Audinwood
oldest →L
vs John Makdessi · Dec 10 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago TavaresMetricPat Audinwood
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.31Δ 2.83 — meaningful gap-3.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thiago TavaresPat Audinwood
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Tavares(10 fights)Pat Audinwood(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +139.7|Blue -139.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thiago TavaresTargetPat Audinwood
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thiago Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control2:58
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
