Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkov has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio Werdum
oldest →L
vs Alistair Overeem · Jul 17W
SUBvs Walt Harris · Oct 17W
vs Marcin Tybura · Nov 17L
vs Aleksei Oleinik · May 20W
SUBvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 20 Alexander VolkovW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25W
DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio WerdumMetricAlexander Volkov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95evenly matched on net striking+1.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Fabricio WerdumAlexander Volkov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Werdum(10 fights)Alexander Volkov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -42.9|Blue +42.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Fabricio WerdumTargetAlexander Volkov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Fabricio Werdum edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns2
Control3:50
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Fabricio Werdum edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control2:26
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 3Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:24
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 4Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:48Control
1Knockdowns
