Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lucas Almeida enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Timmy Cuamba is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Lucas Almeida has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Timmy Cuamba has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Timmy Cuamba has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Timmy Cuamba
oldest →W
KOvs Roberto Romero · Apr 25L
SUBvs Benardo Sopaj · May 26 Lucas AlmeidaL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Michael Trizano · Jun 22L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Jun 23L
KOvs Andre Fili · Dec 23L
KOvs Michael Aswell Jr. · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Timmy CuambaMetricLucas Almeida
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.81evenly matched on net striking-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Timmy CuambaLucas Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Timmy Cuamba(5 fights)Lucas Almeida(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +17.2|Blue -17.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Timmy CuambaTargetLucas Almeida
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lucas Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:44
Knockdowns0
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Lucas Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:16
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Timmy Cuamba edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns2
Control1:18
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
