Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Curtis
oldest →L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 23L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26 Marc-Andre BarriaultL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Nov 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · May 25L
vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25L
vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CurtisMetricMarc-Andre Barriault
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris CurtisMarc-Andre Barriault
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Curtis(10 fights)Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.1|Blue -14.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris CurtisTargetMarc-Andre Barriault
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Marc-Andre Barriault rounds
Round 1Chris Curtis edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Chris Curtis edged it
Sig. strikes51
Takedowns0
Control0:00
45Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Chris Curtis edged it
Sig. strikes66
Takedowns0
Control0:00
59Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
