Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ronny Markes has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ronny MarkesL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Karlos Vemola · Aug 11W
vs Aaron Simpson · Feb 12L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Nov 13L
KOvs Thiago Santos · Mar 14 Andrew CraigL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Jul 12L
SUBvs Luke Barnatt · Oct 13L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Jun 14L
KOvs Lyman Good · Jul 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ronny MarkesMetricAndrew Craig
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ronny MarkesAndrew Craig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ronny Markes(5 fights)Andrew Craig(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ronny MarkesTargetAndrew Craig
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ronny Markes edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns1
Control4:04
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Ronny Markes edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control3:18
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Andrew Craig edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control1:26
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:51Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
