Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julianna Pena has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julianna Pena
oldest →W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25 Jessica Rakoczy
oldest →L
vs Valerie Letourneau · Apr 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julianna PenaMetricJessica Rakoczy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.54Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-1.05
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julianna Pena(10 fights)Jessica Rakoczy(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +141.7|Blue -141.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Julianna PenaTargetJessica Rakoczy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns2
Control4:29
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
