Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Prado is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jamie Mullarkey has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Jamie Mullarkey has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jamie Mullarkey has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jamie Mullarkey
oldest →W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 23L
KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Dec 23L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Sep 25L
SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Jan 26 Francisco PradoL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Jul 23L
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 24L
vs Jake Matthews · Feb 25L
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Jul 25L
DECvs Charles Radtke · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jamie MullarkeyMetricFrancisco Prado
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jamie MullarkeyFrancisco Prado
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)Francisco Prado(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +38.0|Blue -38.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jamie MullarkeyTargetFrancisco Prado
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jamie Mullarkey edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns2
Control3:39
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jamie Mullarkey edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jamie Mullarkey edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control1:08
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
