Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Natalia Silva enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Natalia Silva has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Natalia Silva (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexa Grasso
oldest →W
SUBvs Joanne Wood · Mar 22W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26 Natalia SilvaW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Victoria Leonardo · May 23W
vs Viviane Araujo · Feb 24W
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 24W
vs Rose Namajunas · Jan 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexa GrassoMetricNatalia Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.40Δ 2.05 — meaningful gap+2.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexa GrassoNatalia Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexa Grasso(10 fights)Natalia Silva(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -37.5|Blue +37.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexa GrassoTargetNatalia Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Natalia Silva edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:13
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Natalia Silva edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Natalia Silva edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:27
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
