Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Lineker is a KO finisher (50% of wins). TJ Dillashaw has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ Dillashaw
oldest →W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22 John Lineker
oldest →W
KOvs Michael McDonald · Jul 16W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ DillashawMetricJohn Lineker
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.62evenly matched on net striking+1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
TJ DillashawJohn Lineker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)John Lineker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.0|Blue -4.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
TJ DillashawTargetJohn Lineker
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1TJ Dillashaw edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:34
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2TJ Dillashaw edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns2
Control3:46
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3TJ Dillashaw edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns2
Control1:33
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
