Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ray Borg has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Shane Howell has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ray Borg
oldest →L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17L
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19W
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20 Shane Howell
oldest →L
vs Paddy Holohan · Jan 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ray BorgMetricShane Howell
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.41evenly matched on net striking-1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ray BorgShane Howell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ray Borg(10 fights)Shane Howell(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.2|Blue -138.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ray BorgTargetShane Howell
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ray Borg edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control1:45
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
