Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Boetsch is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Brad Tavares has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Brad Tavares has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19 Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim BoetschMetricBrad Tavares
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tim BoetschBrad Tavares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Boetsch(10 fights)Brad Tavares(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -109.5|Blue +109.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tim BoetschTargetBrad Tavares
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:27
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:40Control
Round 2Tim Boetsch edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:09
Knockdowns2
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:39Control
0Knockdowns
