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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Edmen Shahbazyan won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1481

Elo1513

Brad TavaresvsEdmen ShahbazyanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · Saturday, November 2, 2019New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Edmen Shahbazyan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:27

Style matchupBrad Tavares: Well-roundedvsEdmen Shahbazyan: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Edmen Shahbazyan wins(74.7%)

Actual result: Edmen Shahbazyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Edmen Shahbazyan at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edmen Shahbazyan is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Brad Tavares has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Brad Tavares

Red Corner

Edmen Shahbazyan

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1481

Elo

1513

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brad TavaresL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24

vs JunYong Park · Oct 24

vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25

KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25

vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26

latest

Edmen Shahbazyan

oldest →

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24

KOvs Dylan Budka · Feb 25

vs Andre Petroski · Jun 25

KOvs Andre Muniz · Oct 25

DECvs Brendan Allen · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brad TavaresMetricEdmen Shahbazyan

3.41

Strikes / min

3.80

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

3.60

54%

Strike defense

49%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

1.62

80%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.09evenly matched on net striking+0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brad TavaresEdmen Shahbazyan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brad Tavares(10 fights)Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -31.8|Blue +31.8

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +365.0|Blue -365.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brad TavaresTargetEdmen Shahbazyan

By target zone

5% acc · 33%

Head

33% acc · 86%

100% acc · 33%

Body

100% acc · 14%

33% acc · 33%

Leg

By position

14% acc · 100%

Distance

31% acc · 71%

0% acc

Clinch

50% acc · 14%

Ground

100% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brad Tavares rounds

even

Edmen Shahbazyan rounds

Round 1Edmen Shahbazyan edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

3 / 23

Sig Strikes

14 / 38

13%

Sig Str %

36%

3 / 23

Total Strikes

14 / 38

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Edmen Shahbazyan	14 / 38	14 / 38	0 / 0	0
1	Brad Tavares	3 / 23	3 / 23	0 / 0	0

Brad Tavares

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights28

Edmen Shahbazyan

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights15