Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ashlee Evans-Smith has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sarah MorasL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Talita Bernardo · Oct 18L
KOvs Macy Chiasson · May 19W
KOvs Liana Jojua · Sep 19L
vs Sijara Eubanks · May 20L
vs Vanessa Melo · Jan 21 Ashlee Evans-SmithL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Apr 17W
vs Bec Rawlings · Apr 18L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sarah MorasMetricAshlee Evans-Smith
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.30evenly matched on net striking-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sarah MorasAshlee Evans-Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sarah Moras(9 fights)Ashlee Evans-Smith(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -73.8|Blue +73.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +640.0|Blue -640.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sarah MorasTargetAshlee Evans-Smith
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Ashlee Evans-Smith rounds
Round 1Ashlee Evans-Smith edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:08
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:26Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
