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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Nate Landwehr won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1469

Elo1517

Nate LandwehrvsJamall EmmersUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Saturday, March 30, 2024Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Nate Landwehr won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:43

Style matchupNate Landwehr: Pressure fightervsJamall Emmers: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Nate Landwehr wins(60.0%)

Actual result: Nate Landwehr wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nate Landwehr at +142 American odds

+$142 profit

$242 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nate Landwehr enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jamall Emmers enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Nate Landwehr

Red Corner

Jamall Emmers

Blue Corner

+142

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1469

Elo

1517

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nate LandwehrL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Austin Lingo · Mar 23

vs Dan Ige · Jun 23

KOvs Dooho Choi · Dec 24

KOvs Morgan Charriere · Jul 25

KOvs Cub Swanson · Apr 26

latest

Jamall EmmersW3 streak

oldest →

vs Khusein Askhabov · Feb 23

vs Jack Jenkins · Jun 23

KOvs Dennis Buzukja · Nov 23

KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Mar 25

vs Hyder Amil · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nate LandwehrMetricJamall Emmers

5.55

Strikes / min

5.10

5.96

Strikes absorbed / min

3.92

51%

Strike defense

57%

0.73

TDs / 15 min

2.59

71%

Takedown defense

81%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.41Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap+1.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nate LandwehrJamall Emmers

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nate Landwehr(10 fights)Jamall Emmers(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -48.1|Blue +48.1

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +154.0|Blue -154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nate LandwehrTargetJamall Emmers

By target zone

49% acc · 92%

Head

41% acc · 62%

60% acc · 8%

Body

76% acc · 33%

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

39% acc · 65%

Distance

49% acc · 92%

90% acc · 24%

Clinch

75% acc · 8%

100% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nate Landwehr rounds

even

Jamall Emmers rounds

Round 1Nate Landwehr edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

39Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 76

Sig Strikes

39 / 78

48%

Sig Str %

50%

37 / 76

Total Strikes

39 / 78

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jamall Emmers	39 / 78	39 / 78	0 / 0	0
1	Nate Landwehr	37 / 76	37 / 76	0 / 0	0

Nate Landwehr

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10

Jamall Emmers

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9