Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Louis Gaudinot threatens submissions; Tim Elliott has lost 42% of fights by sub.
- Tim Elliott has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tim Elliott (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Louis Gaudinot
oldest →L
KOvs Johnny Bedford · Dec 11W
SUBvs John Lineker · May 12L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Jan 15 Tim Elliott
oldest →W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25L
DECvs Steve Erceg · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Louis GaudinotMetricTim Elliott
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-4.08Δ 4.59 — meaningful gap+0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Louis GaudinotTim Elliott
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Louis Gaudinot(4 fights)Tim Elliott(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -146.0|Blue +146.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.3|Blue +2.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +224.0|Blue -224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Louis GaudinotTargetTim Elliott
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:14
40Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:28Control
Round 2Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 3Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
46Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
