Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Lauren Murphy has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roxanne ModafferiL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Maycee Barber · Jan 20L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jan 21L
vs Taila Santos · Sep 21L
vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22 Lauren MurphyL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 21L
KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 21L
vs Jessica Andrade · Jan 23L
vs Eduarda Moura · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roxanne ModafferiMetricLauren Murphy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.35Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap-1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Roxanne ModafferiLauren Murphy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)Lauren Murphy(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -75.2|Blue +75.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Roxanne ModafferiTargetLauren Murphy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Roxanne Modafferi rounds
Round 1Lauren Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control1:14
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Lauren Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:44
23Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 3Lauren Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control1:10
30Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
