Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Casey O'Neill has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Casey O'Neill has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Casey O'NeillW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Roxanne Modafferi · Feb 22L
vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 23L
SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Dec 23W
vs Luana Santos · Aug 24W
KOvs Gabriella Fernandes · Mar 26 Lara Procopio
oldest →W
vs Molly McCann · Feb 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Casey O'NeillMetricLara Procopio
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.36Δ 3.22 — meaningful gap-0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Casey O'NeillLara Procopio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Casey O'Neill(8 fights)Lara Procopio(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.1|Blue -27.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Casey O'NeillTargetLara Procopio
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lara Procopio edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:36
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:50Control
Round 2Casey O'Neill edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control2:33
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:00Control
Round 3Casey O'Neill edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:33
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
