Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Modestas Bukauskas has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Modestas Bukauskas has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Modestas Bukauskas (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Modestas Bukauskas
oldest →W
KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Feb 25W
vs Ion Cutelaba · May 25W
KOvs Paul Craig · Sep 25L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 26W
DECvs Christian Edwards · May 26 Khalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Modestas BukauskasMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.81evenly matched on net striking-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Modestas BukauskasKhalil Rountree Jr.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Modestas Bukauskas(10 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +35.7|Blue -35.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Modestas BukauskasTargetKhalil Rountree Jr.
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Modestas Bukauskas rounds
2
Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds
Round 1Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
