Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert threatens submissions; Deron Winn has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
- Gerald Meerschaert has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gerald MeerschaertL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25L
DECvs Jacob Malkoun · May 26 Deron Winn
oldest →W
vs Eric Spicely · Jun 19L
vs Darren Stewart · Oct 19W
vs Antonio Arroyo · Dec 20L
KOvs Phil Hawes · Jun 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gerald MeerschaertMetricDeron Winn
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.49Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap-1.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gerald MeerschaertDeron Winn
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)Deron Winn(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -37.8|Blue +37.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +6.0|Blue -6.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gerald MeerschaertTargetDeron Winn
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Gerald Meerschaert rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 2Gerald Meerschaert edged it
Sig. strikes50
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Gerald Meerschaert edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control0:21
Knockdowns1
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
