Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darrius Flowers enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Lando Vannata has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lando VannataL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Yancy Medeiros · Feb 20L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 22L
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Apr 23 Darrius FlowersL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 23L
vs Michael Johnson · Feb 24L
SUBvs Evan Elder · Jul 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lando VannataMetricDarrius Flowers
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.19Δ 2.03 — meaningful gap-2.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lando VannataDarrius Flowers
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lando Vannata(10 fights)Darrius Flowers(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -28.7|Blue +28.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +455.0|Blue -455.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lando VannataTargetDarrius Flowers
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lando Vannata edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns2
Control2:16
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
