Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcin Prachnio has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ike Villanueva has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin PrachnioL2 streak
oldest →W
vs William Knight · Feb 23L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25 Ike VillanuevaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Chase Sherman · May 20L
KOvs Jordan Wright · Aug 20W
KOvs Vinicius Moreira · Jan 21L
KOvs Nicolae Negumereanu · Oct 21L
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Apr 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin PrachnioMetricIke Villanueva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.37Δ 5.95 — meaningful gap-3.58
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcin PrachnioIke Villanueva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)Ike Villanueva(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +66.8|Blue -66.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -3.0|Blue +3.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcin PrachnioTargetIke Villanueva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marcin Prachnio edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Marcin Prachnio edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
