Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alistair Overeem is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Walt Harris has lost 56% of fights by KO.
- Walt Harris is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Alistair Overeem has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alistair Overeem
oldest →W
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Nov 18W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21 Walt HarrisL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Daniel Spitz · Jun 18W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alistair OvereemMetricWalt Harris
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.23Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alistair OvereemWalt Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alistair Overeem(10 fights)Walt Harris(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +91.5|Blue -91.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -140.0|Blue +140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alistair OvereemTargetWalt Harris
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alistair Overeem edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control2:56
Knockdowns0
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:47Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Alistair Overeem edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control1:26
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
