Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Rashid Magomedov has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25L
KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 26 Rashid Magomedov
oldest →W
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Feb 14W
vs Rodrigo Damm · May 14W
KOvs Elias Silverio · Dec 14L
vs Beneil Dariush · Nov 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricRashid Magomedov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.52Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gilbert BurnsRashid Magomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Rashid Magomedov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -25.1|Blue +25.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gilbert BurnsTargetRashid Magomedov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control1:07
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Rashid Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:38
Knockdowns0
37Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:33Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Rashid Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:19
Knockdowns0
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:35Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
