Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Hernandez has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tatsuro Taira
oldest →W
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 24L
vs Brandon Royval · Oct 24W
SUBvs HyunSung Park · Aug 25W
KOvs Brandon Moreno · Dec 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · May 26 Carlos Hernandez
oldest →L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Jan 23W
vs Denys Bondar · Jun 23W
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Nov 24L
SUBvs HyunSung Park · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tatsuro TairaMetricCarlos Hernandez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tatsuro TairaCarlos Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tatsuro Taira(10 fights)Carlos Hernandez(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +37.4|Blue -37.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tatsuro TairaTargetCarlos Hernandez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tatsuro Taira edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control3:21
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:53Control
Round 2Tatsuro Taira edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:15
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
