Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tracy CortezL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Sep 23L
vs Rose Namajunas · Jul 24W
vs Viviane Araujo · Jun 25L
SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 25L
DECvs Wang Cong · Jul 26 Justine Kish
oldest →W
vs Ashley Yoder · Dec 16L
vs Felice Herrig · Jun 17W
DECvs Luci Pudilova · Jan 20L
SUBvs Sabina Mazo · Sep 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tracy CortezMetricJustine Kish
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.85evenly matched on net striking-0.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tracy CortezJustine Kish
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tracy Cortez(9 fights)Justine Kish(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +84.4|Blue -84.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tracy CortezTargetJustine Kish
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tracy Cortez edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control4:11
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 2Justine Kish edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control0:53
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control1:22
Knockdowns0
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
1Knockdowns
