Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Junior Dos Santos is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Stipe Miocic has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Stipe Miocic is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior Dos SantosL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20 Stipe MiocicL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18W
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19W
vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior Dos SantosMetricStipe Miocic
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.16evenly matched on net striking+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Junior Dos SantosStipe Miocic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)Stipe Miocic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -101.3|Blue +101.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +224.0|Blue -224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Junior Dos SantosTargetStipe Miocic
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Junior Dos Santos rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 2Stipe Miocic edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:15
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:37Control
Round 3Junior Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:09
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
0Knockdowns
Round 4Junior Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control0:29
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 5Junior Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:28
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
