Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Boetsch has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Thales Leites has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thales Leites
oldest →L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Nov 16L
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 17L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 18W
vs Hector Lombard · Sep 18 Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thales LeitesMetricTim Boetsch
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.86evenly matched on net striking+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thales LeitesTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thales Leites(10 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +120.0|Blue -120.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thales LeitesTargetTim Boetsch
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tim Boetsch edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:19
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Thales Leites edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control1:43
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
