Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fabio Maldonado has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- James McSweeney has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors James McSweeney (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James McSweeney
oldest →L
KOvs Travis Browne · Jun 10 Fabio MaldonadoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Gian Villante · Mar 14L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 14W
KOvs Hans Stringer · Oct 14L
DECvs Rampage Jackson · Apr 15L
vs Corey Anderson · Nov 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James McSweeneyMetricFabio Maldonado
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.39Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
James McSweeneyFabio Maldonado
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James McSweeney(2 fights)Fabio Maldonado(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.9|Blue +4.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -46.3|Blue +46.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
James McSweeneyTargetFabio Maldonado
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1James McSweeney edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control1:09
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 2Fabio Maldonado edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
50Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:00Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Fabio Maldonado edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
