Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vitor Petrino has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Vitor Petrino has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor PetrinoW2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · May 24L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Dec 24W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Oct 25W
vs Steven Asplund · Mar 26 Austen LaneL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Justin Tafa · Sep 23L
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Apr 24W
vs Robelis Despaigne · Oct 24L
KOvs Mario Pinto · Mar 25L
KOvs Iwo Baraniewski · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor PetrinoMetricAusten Lane
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vitor PetrinoAusten Lane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Petrino(9 fights)Austen Lane(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +94.5|Blue -94.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vitor PetrinoTargetAusten Lane
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Vitor Petrino edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control3:03
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
