Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fabricio Camoes threatens submissions; Melvin Guillard has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Melvin Guillard has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melvin Guillard
oldest →L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 12L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 12L
vs Jamie Varner · Dec 12W
KOvs Mac Danzig · Jul 13L
vs Michael Johnson · Mar 14 Fabricio CamoesL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Kurt Pellegrino · Mar 10W
SUBvs Tommy Hayden · Jan 12L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Dec 13L
SUBvs Anthony Rocco Martin · Oct 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melvin GuillardMetricFabricio Camoes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.11Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Melvin GuillardFabricio Camoes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melvin Guillard(10 fights)Fabricio Camoes(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +136.5|Blue -136.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Melvin GuillardTargetFabricio Camoes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Melvin Guillard edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:52
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:57Control
Round 2Melvin Guillard edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:30
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:08Control
Round 3Melvin Guillard edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
