Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hunter Azure has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cole Smith
oldest →W
vs Mitch Gagnon · May 19 Hunter AzureL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cole SmithMetricHunter Azure
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.18Δ 2.02 — meaningful gap+1.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cole SmithHunter Azure
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cole Smith(3 fights)Hunter Azure(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -104.7|Blue +104.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +242.0|Blue -242.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cole SmithTargetHunter Azure
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hunter Azure edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:32
Knockdowns0
26Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:48Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Hunter Azure edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control0:43
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:29Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control1:58
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
