Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rashad Evans enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Rashad Evans has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rashad Evans has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rashad EvansL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Apr 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Mar 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jun 18 Dan Henderson
oldest →L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Jan 15W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 15L
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Nov 15W
KOvs Hector Lombard · Jun 16L
vs Michael Bisping · Oct 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rashad EvansMetricDan Henderson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rashad EvansDan Henderson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rashad Evans(10 fights)Dan Henderson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -124.8|Blue +124.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rashad EvansTargetDan Henderson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dan Henderson edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:15
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Rashad Evans edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:19
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Rashad Evans edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control2:06
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
