Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Cormier has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stipe Miocic has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel Cormier
oldest →W
SUBvs Anthony Johnson · Apr 17W
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18W
SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18L
vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20 Stipe MiocicL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Francis Ngannou · Jan 18L
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18W
vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel CormierMetricStipe Miocic
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.33evenly matched on net striking+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daniel CormierStipe Miocic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Cormier(10 fights)Stipe Miocic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -106.2|Blue +106.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daniel CormierTargetStipe Miocic
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Daniel Cormier edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns1
Control2:44
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Daniel Cormier edged it
Sig. strikes56
Takedowns0
Control0:13
46Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
Round 3Daniel Cormier edged it
Sig. strikes57
Takedowns0
Control0:05
34Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:01Control
Round 4Stipe Miocic edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
