Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eryk Anders has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Eryk Anders (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22 Eryk Anders
oldest →L
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23W
vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25W
vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricEryk Anders
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.15Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thiago SantosEryk Anders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Eryk Anders(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -79.7|Blue +79.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thiago SantosTargetEryk Anders
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control0:02
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:08Control
Round 2Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control1:35
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 3Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes54
Takedowns0
Control0:17
14Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:14Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
