Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jose Aldo has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kenny Florian (53.5%).
- Kenny Florian has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jose AldoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 22W
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 24L
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · May 25 Kenny Florian
oldest →W
SUBvs Takanori Gomi · Mar 10L
vs Gray Maynard · Aug 10 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jose AldoMetricKenny Florian
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.16evenly matched on net striking+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jose AldoKenny Florian
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jose Aldo(10 fights)Kenny Florian(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.1|Blue -3.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jose AldoTargetKenny Florian
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kenny Florian edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:42Control
Round 2Kenny Florian edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 3Jose Aldo edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control2:21
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 4Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:30
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:53Control
Round 5Jose Aldo edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control3:01
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:54Control
