Skip to content
Flyweight
3 Rounds
Bruno Silva won · KO/TKO
Elo1453
Bruno Silva
Elo1401

Bruno SilvavsVictor RodriguezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · Saturday, May 22, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bruno Silva won

KO/TKO

Model Prediction: Bruno Silva wins(78.1%)

Actual result: Bruno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bruno Silva at -355 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bruno Silva is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Victor Rodriguez has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Bruno Silva has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Victor Rodriguez (52.9%).
  • Bruno Silva has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Bruno Silva
Red Corner
VS
Victor Rodriguez
Blue Corner
-355
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+295
(25%)
1453
Elo
1401
37
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
5'5"
187.96 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bruno SilvaL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25
L
KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25
W
SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25
L
vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26
L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26
latest
Victor Rodriguez
oldest →
L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bruno SilvaMetricVictor Rodriguez
3.86
Strikes / min
1.59
5.35
Strikes absorbed / min
6.11
41%
Strike defense
50%
0.77
TDs / 15 min
0.00
74%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.49Δ 3.03 — meaningful gap-4.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1472 vs 1484Strikes3.0 vs 1.6Takedowns2.9 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs -1.0
Bruno SilvaVictor Rodriguez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401460148015001520← oldermost recent →
Bruno Silva(10 fights)Victor Rodriguez(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +52.4|Blue -52.4
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -140.0|Blue +140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bruno SilvaTargetVictor Rodriguez

By target zone

4
40% acc · 67%
Head
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 17%
Body
0
1
100% acc · 17%
Leg
0

By position

3
50% acc · 50%
Distance
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 17%
Clinch
0
2
40% acc · 33%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Bruno Silva rounds
0
even
0
Victor Rodriguez rounds
Round 1Bruno Silva edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
6 / 12
Sig Strikes
0 / 3
50%
Sig Str %
0%
6 / 12
Total Strikes
0 / 3
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Victor Rodriguez0 / 30 / 30 / 00
1Bruno Silva6 / 126 / 120 / 00

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights23

Victor Rodriguez

StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights2