Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Pierson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Sean Pierson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Matthew Riddle has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew RiddleW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Aug 10L
vs Lance Benoist · Sep 11W
vs Henry Martinez · Feb 12W
vs John Maguire · Nov 12 Sean PiersonW3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Apr 11L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Dec 11W
vs Lance Benoist · Sep 12W
vs Kenny Robertson · Jun 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew RiddleMetricSean Pierson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matthew RiddleSean Pierson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Riddle(6 fights)Sean Pierson(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.0|Blue +47.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matthew RiddleTargetSean Pierson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean Pierson edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
48Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:31Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Sean Pierson edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:45
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 3Sean Pierson edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
39Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
