Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Zach Reese threatens submissions; Sedriques Dumas has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Sedriques Dumas has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Zach Reese has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zach Reese (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zach ReeseL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Azamat Bekoev · Jan 25W
vs Dusko Todorovic · May 25W
SUBvs Jackson McVey · Nov 25L
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 26L
KOvs Ryan Gandra · Jul 26 Sedriques DumasL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Nursulton Ruziboev · Mar 24W
vs Denis Tiuliulin · Aug 24L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 25L
SUBvs Donte Johnson · Nov 25L
SUBvs Jackson McVey · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zach ReeseMetricSedriques Dumas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.56Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Zach ReeseSedriques Dumas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zach Reese(5 fights)Sedriques Dumas(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.7|Blue -7.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Zach ReeseTargetSedriques Dumas
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
