Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rose Namajunas
oldest →L
vs Manon Fiorot · Sep 23W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26 latest Tracy CortezL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Melissa Gatto · May 22W
vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Sep 23W
vs Viviane Araujo · Jun 25L
SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 25L
DECvs Wang Cong · Jul 26 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rose NamajunasMetricTracy Cortez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.12evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rose NamajunasTracy Cortez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rose Namajunas(10 fights)Tracy Cortez(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +15.4|Blue -15.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -189.0|Blue +189.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rose NamajunasTargetTracy Cortez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:28
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control0:23
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 3Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control3:47
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 4Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:06
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 5Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control0:52
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.