Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tyron Woodley has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tyron WoodleyL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18L
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · May 20L
KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21 Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
DECvs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tyron WoodleyMetricDemian Maia
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40evenly matched on net striking-0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tyron WoodleyDemian Maia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tyron Woodley(10 fights)Demian Maia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.6|Blue +4.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tyron WoodleyTargetDemian Maia
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 2Tyron Woodley edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Tyron Woodley edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Tyron Woodley edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:01
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 5Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:01
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
