Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Ronny Markes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Ronny Markes has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ronny Markes
oldest →W
vs Karlos Vemola · Aug 11W
vs Aaron Simpson · Feb 12W
vs Andrew Craig · Jan 13L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Nov 13 Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ronny MarkesMetricThiago Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.26Δ 1.41 — meaningful gap+1.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ronny MarkesThiago Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ronny Markes(5 fights)Thiago Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -79.3|Blue +79.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -95.0|Blue +95.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ronny MarkesTargetThiago Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
