Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Parker Porter enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Parker Porter has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Braxton Smith has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Braxton SmithNo prior UFC fights on record.
Parker PorterL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Chase Sherman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 22L
KOvs Justin Tafa · Feb 23L
KOvs Junior Tafa · Aug 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Braxton SmithMetricParker Porter
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-5.08Δ 5.31 — meaningful gap+0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Braxton SmithParker Porter
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Braxton Smith(1 fights)Parker Porter(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.3|Blue +2.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.4|Blue -49.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Braxton SmithTargetParker Porter
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Parker Porter edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
