Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Beneil Dariush has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Beneil DariushL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23W
vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26 Thiago MoisesL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Mar 24L
vs Ludovit Klein · Jun 24L
KOvs Jared Gordon · May 25L
DECvs Gauge Young · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Beneil DariushMetricThiago Moises
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.11Δ 2.99 — meaningful gap-1.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Beneil DariushThiago Moises
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Beneil Dariush(10 fights)Thiago Moises(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -5.4|Blue +5.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Beneil DariushTargetThiago Moises
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Beneil Dariush edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control4:08
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Beneil Dariush edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns3
Control4:41
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Beneil Dariush edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control4:41
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
