Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Pierce has 71pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rousimar PalharesL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs David Branch · Mar 11W
SUBvs Mike Massenzio · Jan 12L
KOvs Alan Belcher · May 12L
KOvs Hector Lombard · Dec 12 Mike Pierce
oldest →W
vs Carlos Eduardo Rocha · Jun 12W
KOvs Aaron Simpson · Oct 12W
vs Seth Baczynski · Dec 12W
KOvs David Mitchell · Jul 13L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Dec 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rousimar PalharesMetricMike Pierce
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rousimar PalharesMike Pierce
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rousimar Palhares(8 fights)Mike Pierce(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +134.4|Blue -134.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +204.0|Blue -204.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rousimar PalharesTargetMike Pierce
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Rousimar Palhares rounds
Round 1Mike Pierce edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:04
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:08Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
