Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jenel Lausa won · U-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1366

Yao ZhikuivsJenel LausaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · Saturday, November 26, 2016Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Official fight result

Jenel Lausa won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yao Zhikui wins(53.6%)

Actual result: Jenel Lausa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yao Zhikui at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jenel Lausa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jenel Lausa has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Yao Zhikui

Red Corner

Jenel Lausa

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1359

Elo

1366

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'5"

162.56 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yao Zhikui

oldest →

vs Royston Wee · Aug 14

vs Nolan Ticman · May 15

KOvs Fredy Serrano · Nov 15

latest

Jenel LausaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Magomed Bibulatov · Apr 17

vs Eric Shelton · Nov 17

SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Jun 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yao ZhikuiMetricJenel Lausa

1.44

Strikes / min

1.44

2.82

Strikes absorbed / min

3.53

48%

Strike defense

53%

0.66

TDs / 15 min

0.55

58%

Takedown defense

51%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.38evenly matched on net striking-2.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yao ZhikuiJenel Lausa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yao Zhikui(4 fights)Jenel Lausa(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -7.4|Blue +7.4

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yao ZhikuiTargetJenel Lausa

By target zone

15% acc · 52%

Head

52% acc · 95%

57% acc · 14%

Body

43% acc · 5%

63% acc · 34%

Leg

By position

18% acc · 69%

Distance

51% acc · 95%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

67% acc · 28%

Ground

50% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yao Zhikui rounds

even

Jenel Lausa rounds

Round 1Jenel Lausa edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:09Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Jenel Lausa edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:55

Knockdowns0

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:43Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Jenel Lausa edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 124

Sig Strikes

56 / 109

24.3%

Sig Str %

51%

33 / 128

Total Strikes

70 / 126

1 / 6

TDs

1 / 1

8.3%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:55

Ctrl Time

0:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jenel Lausa	20 / 41	20 / 41	1 / 1	0
1	Yao Zhikui	10 / 44	10 / 44	0 / 1	0
2	Jenel Lausa	14 / 28	28 / 45	0 / 0	1
2	Yao Zhikui	13 / 33	17 / 37	1 / 4	0
3	Jenel Lausa	22 / 40	22 / 40	0 / 0	0
3	Yao Zhikui	6 / 47	6 / 47	0 / 1	0

Yao Zhikui

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights4

Jenel Lausa

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4