Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walel Watson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Yves Jabouin has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Yves Jabouin has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Yves Jabouin has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Walel Watson has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Walel WatsonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Joseph Sandoval · Oct 11L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Feb 12L
SUBvs Mitch Gagnon · Sep 12 Yves JabouinL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Dustin Pague · Jun 13L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jan 14L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Apr 15L
SUBvs Felipe Arantes · Aug 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Walel WatsonMetricYves Jabouin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.69Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Walel WatsonYves Jabouin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Walel Watson(4 fights)Yves Jabouin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.5|Blue +3.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Walel WatsonTargetYves Jabouin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:02
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:10Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 3Walel Watson edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control1:13
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
