Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Spann threatens submissions; Ovince Saint Preux has lost 31% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan SpannW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Anthony Smith · Aug 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25W
KOvs Marcus Buchecha · Apr 26 Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Dec 20L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan SpannMetricOvince Saint Preux
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.81evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ryan SpannOvince Saint Preux
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Spann(10 fights)Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +21.6|Blue -21.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ryan SpannTargetOvince Saint Preux
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
Round 1Ryan Spann edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:03
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
