Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aleksandre Topuria has 32pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Aleksandre Topuria has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bekzat Almakhan
oldest →L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 24W
KOvs Brad Katona · May 25L
DECvs Jean Matsumoto · Jun 26 Aleksandre Topuria
oldest →W
vs Colby Thicknesse · Feb 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bekzat AlmakhanMetricAleksandre Topuria
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.12Δ 2.48 — meaningful gap+0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bekzat AlmakhanAleksandre Topuria
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bekzat Almakhan(4 fights)Aleksandre Topuria(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -55.8|Blue +55.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bekzat AlmakhanTargetAleksandre Topuria
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Aleksandre Topuria rounds
Round 1Aleksandre Topuria edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:40Control
Round 2Aleksandre Topuria edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 3Aleksandre Topuria edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:01
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
