← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Westin Wilson won · SUB R1

Elo1482

Elo1484

Jeka SaragihvsWestin WilsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · Saturday, June 15, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Westin Wilson won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:49

Style matchupJeka Saragih: WrestlervsWestin Wilson: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jeka Saragih wins(56.5%)

Actual result: Westin Wilson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jeka Saragih at -360 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Westin Wilson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jeka Saragih is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Westin Wilson has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Westin Wilson threatens submissions; Jeka Saragih has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Jeka Saragih has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jeka Saragih has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Westin Wilson (53.5%).
Westin Wilson has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jeka Saragih

Red Corner

Westin Wilson

Blue Corner

-360

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+260

(28%)

1482

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

6'1"

175.26 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jeka Saragih

oldest →

KOvs Anshul Jubli · Feb 23

KOvs Lucas Alexander · Nov 23

KOvs JooSang Yoo · Jun 25

latest

Westin WilsonL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joanderson Brito · Jul 23

KOvs Jean Silva · Jan 24

KOvs Yizha · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jeka SaragihMetricWestin Wilson

2.75

Strikes / min

1.57

2.82

Strikes absorbed / min

6.71

40%

Strike defense

30%

2.17

TDs / 15 min

1.57

66%

Takedown defense

33%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

7.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.07Δ 5.07 — meaningful gap-5.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jeka SaragihWestin Wilson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jeka Saragih(4 fights)Westin Wilson(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Recent Form

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jeka SaragihTargetWestin Wilson

By target zone

33% acc · 50%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 25%

Leg

By position

60% acc · 75%

Distance

0% acc

Clinch

33% acc · 25%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jeka Saragih rounds

even

Westin Wilson rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:53

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:35Control

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 8

Sig Strikes

0 / 1

50%

Sig Str %

4 / 9

Total Strikes

2 / 3

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 3

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:53

Ctrl Time

0:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Westin Wilson	0 / 1	2 / 3	1 / 3	3
1	Jeka Saragih	4 / 8	4 / 9	0 / 1	0

Jeka Saragih

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4

Westin Wilson

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4