Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Hall has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Darrick Minner has 66pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ryan Hall (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan Hall
oldest →W
vs Gray Maynard · Dec 16W
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 19L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jul 21 Darrick MinnerL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · Feb 20W
SUBvs TJ Laramie · Sep 20W
vs Charles Rosa · Feb 21L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Jul 21L
KOvs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Nov 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan HallMetricDarrick Minner
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.05evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ryan HallDarrick Minner
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Hall(6 fights)Darrick Minner(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +54.8|Blue -54.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ryan HallTargetDarrick Minner
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Darrick Minner edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control1:40
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:47Control
Round 2Ryan Hall edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:14
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:37Control
Round 3Ryan Hall edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control3:43
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
